Potential Israeli insider places major Polymarket bet on war against Iran by this day

A Polymarket account, which has sparked rumors of insider information after successfully gambling on Israeli and US military operations over the last six months, placed a new, high stakes wager on war with Iran by month’s end.

The account, now renamed Rundeep, joined the current-events-based gambling website in June 2025 and has racked up over $154,219 while wagering exclusively on Israeli and US military actions.

The biggest win came on June 13 — days after the account was made — with Rundeep making more than $128,700 betting that Israel would take military action against Iran. That outcome was considered just 14% likely prior to Israel’s kicking off its 12-Day War against Tehran which lasted until June 24.

Now, Rundeep has bet a total of $15,517.18 that Israel will attack Iran before Jan. 31, the Polymarket account history revealed.

In the past week, the odds of the attack occurring were placed as low as 16%, but after several viral X posts exposed the account, the odds have shot up, now sitting at a 35% chance that Israel will attack the Islamic Republic by the end of the month.

The account also accurately bet on an Israeli strike against Iran on June 20, wagered on US military action against Iran on June 21 called Operation Midnight Hammer, and made other gambles capitalizing on apparent inside knowledge of those two military operations.

Account owners changed the user name of the account on Thursday from “RicoSauve666” to Rundeep, after the social media posts shined a light on the shockingly consistent outcomes of the account.