Mets vs. Mariners odds, picks, and best bets
It’s appropriate that the Mets will participate in the 2025 Little League Classic in Williamsport on Sunday night, given how they’ve played this summer.
The Amazin’s were the clear favorite to win the NL East for most of the season, but they now find themselves as a +450 underdog to top the division, and they were just 1.5 games ahead of the Cincinnati Reds for the final wild-card spot entering play on Sunday.
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There have been a host of issues for the Mets, from slumping hitters to a beleaguered bullpen.
Mets vs. Mariners odds, prediction
| Team | Odds |
|---|---|
| Mariners | -125 |
| Mets | +105 |
Since June 1, the Mets rank 18th in the MLB with 292 runs scored, and they are tied for 14th with a .315 wOBA.
There are some decent components of their offensive statistical portfolio in that span, but the nuts and bolts of the story is that the Amazin’s have gone mediocre on offense, and that’s put a lot of pressure on what was an overachieving pitching staff.
They’re not overachieving anymore.
The Mets rank 25th in ERA (4.63) since June 1, and their 4.19 xFIP is good enough for 19th, which suggests that this downfall is no fluke.
This team is just plain pedestrian right now, and it’s taking on a club that is 11-4 in its last 15 games and has its sights set on winning the AL West.
Mets vs. Mariners pick
Clay Holmes will get the assignment for the Mets, hoping to bounce back from an ugly outing against the Braves in his last start.
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That performance felt like it was coming.
Holmes continues to do a terrific job at getting ground balls, but he grades out as below average in xERA (4.40), strikeout percentage, walk rate, and hard-hit percentage, per StatCast.
George Kirby boasts the better numbers, and his offense is in much better form than the Mets.
The price on Seattle to win this one is more than fair.
The Play: Seattle Mariners -125 (bet365)
Why Trust New York Post Betting
Michael Leboff is a long-suffering Islanders fan, but a long-profiting sports bettor with 10 years of experience in the gambling industry. He loves using game theory to help punters win bracket pools, find long shots, and learn how to beat the market in mainstream and niche sports.
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