FIFA Club World Cup semifinals picks, best bets Wednesday
The folks at FIFA couldn’t be happier about how things played out at the Club World Cup.
Not only did we see a surprise outfit from South America get within one match of the final, but fans will also get treated to a showdown between Paris Saint-Germain and Real Madrid in the other semifinal Wednesday.
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The tournament has been under intense scrutiny from the launch, but that will all be forgotten for at least 90 minutes Wednesday when Kylian Mbappe and Madrid take on his former team at MetLife Stadium.
Oddsmakers are having a tough time separating the two clubs, with PSG sitting as a -143 favorite to advance.
Real Madrid vs. PSG prediction
Paris Saint-Germain has established itself as the best team in the world at the moment, and they put an exclamation point on that claim with their win over Bayern Munich in the quarterfinals.
Bayern was able to hang around against Les Parisiens for much of the game, but that’s all they could muster. The Bavarians weren’t a real threat, and PSG controlled the match from the outset.
PSG won, 2-0, with the insurance goal coming in the 96th minute, but the box score suggested it could have been a lot more one-sided.
They created 1.98 expected goals and five big scoring chances, while holding Bayern to just 0.66 xG and one big chance. It was a comprehensive victory for Luis Enrique’s side.
Real Madrid was also impressive in its 3-2 win over Borussia Dortmund in the quarters, but Los Blancos are still getting used to new manager Xabi Alonso’s system.
There are certainly kinks to work out, as Real Madrid has been a little leaky defensively.
Madrid has the star power to overcome some defensive misgivings against most teams, but it becomes a different question entirely against PSG.
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Real Madrid vs. PSG pick
This match is tough to call, as you’re looking for your edges on the margins.
Both teams have plenty of game-breakers that can win you a match on their own, but it’s PSG that is the more stable side right now.
Les Parisiens are a well-oiled machine, while Real Madrid is in the middle of its first preseason under a new manager.
Perhaps Mbappe wrecks this one, but the value is on PSG to get the win inside 90 minutes.
The Play: PSG (+130, bet365)
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Michael Leboff is a long-suffering Islanders fan, but a long-profiting sports bettor with 10 years of experience in the gambling industry. He loves using game theory to help punters win bracket pools, find long shots, and learn how to beat the market in mainstream and niche sports.
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