FIFA Club World Cup picks, best bets Sunday
Despite the wide odds, Sunday’s match between Inter Miami and Paris Saint-Germain should be one of the most interesting games of the Round of 16.
PSG is just a month removed from winning their first-ever Champions League title and was dominant in Ligue 1 this season, but they will be wary of Miami’s star power in an elimination game.
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A core of Lionel Messi, Luis Suarez, Sergio Busquets and Jordi Alba is still enough to give any team in the world issues on its day.
Nonetheless, PSG is a -1500 favorite to advance, and they are -600 to win the match in regulation.
Gold Cup: PSG vs. Inter Miami betting preview
It must be said that Inter Miami is a little fortunate to be in this position.
The Herons went 1-1-1 with a plus-1 goal difference (four goals for, three goals against) against Al Ahly, FC Porto and Palmeiras in the group stage, but their underlying stats were not all that pretty.
Inter Miami boasted a -2.3 expected goal difference in the three group-stage matches, and they were thoroughly outshot in each match.
It’s not a massive concern for Inter Miami that they were out-chanced because they have the finishing talent to make the most of their opportunities, but it’s a dangerous game to play against Paris Saint-Germain.
Inter Miami will need to tighten up defensively if it’s going to have a chance in this match.
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Gold Cup: PSG vs. Inter Miami pick
It’s hard to see a team built like Inter Miami digging in and daring PSG to break them down, so it feels like the Herons will go into this match with the intention of trying to take on the champions of Europe.
For most big underdogs, that would not be an advisable move, but Inter Miami has enough playmaking talent to give PSG a headache.
There’s a couple of different ways to play this match, but my favorite bet on the board is Inter Miami to score first (+320), followed by there to be Over 2.5 goals in the first half.
The Plays: Inter Miami to score first (+320), 1H Over 2.5 goals (+310, FanDuel)
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Michael Leboff is a long-suffering Islanders fan, but a long-profiting sports bettor with 10 years of experience in the gambling industry. He loves using game theory to help punters win bracket pools, find long shots, and learn how to beat the market in mainstream and niche sports.
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