Marcel Reed deserves more love
Sheer statistics obviously matter a lot in Heisman voting, although there’s arguably equal value in a player’s impact on his team’s success.
Who deserves it more between candidates on both sides of that spectrum really just depends on the narratives of the given season.
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The 2025 Heisman conversation is beginning to define itself through the betting market as we approach Week 11. We’re looking at a four-man race between Ohio State’s Julian Sayin, Indiana’s Fernando Mendoza, Alabama’s Ty Simpson, and Texas A&M’s Marcel Reed.
Sayin has surged to the +180 favorite (FanDuel Sportsbook) from +400 last week after capping off a near-flawless, four-touchdown performance over Penn State.
The redshirt freshman for the undefeated Buckeyes has the numbers, completing 80.7 percent of his throws and hurling over 2,100 yards for 23 touchdowns and only three picks.
The time to have invested in the unperturbable pilot of the nation’s No. 1 program has passed since he’s priced as if he’s already won.
Michigan still looms on Nov. 29, so Sayin has a potential Heisman-clinching moment on tap, but until then, he hasn’t faced enough true adversity or a moment requiring grand heroics on a juggernaut team.
Mendoza sits in his rearview mirror at +240 in an unprecedented Hoosiers campaign that has propelled them to No. 2 for the first time in program history.
Even though you can’t help to look to Mendoza for the Cinderella storyline, he is not really the engine of this undefeated run anymore after a pedestrian stat line against Maryland.
Simpson, +390, is thriving in Kalen DeBoer’s quarterback-friendly system that relies heavily on pre-snap motion and routes stacked at multiple depths to give him options on nearly every play.
He’s thrown 273 YPG for 20 scores and only one interception, which says steady rather than explosive inside a structure that protects him.
My value investment falls to Reed at +850. No, he doesn’t have the numbers over the aforementioned names with a 61 percent completion rate, 246.5 YPG, and a 17-6 TD/INT ratio.
What he does have is the road resume and a signature performance in beating No. 8 Notre Dame 41-40 while throwing for 360 yards.
Betting on College Football?
It’s hard to argue that the Aggies, who have three one-possession wins, would still be 8-0 without Reed.
He fits the mold of several recent Heisman-winning signal callers with the offense’s identity running right through him.
Reed poses dual-threat abilities with legs that can extend drives and an arm that can conjure explosive plays off broken structure. The scheme survives based on his improvisation, and when protection breaks or the run game stalls, Reed’s decision-making keeps the offense on the field.
The Aggies get a remaining schedule that sets up an optimal runway for Reed’s Heisman case: No. 19 Missouri, then two winnable tune-ups against South Carolina and Samford before a finale at No. 13 Texas, which offers enough magnitude to swing ballots.
There’s a lot of reactionary voting with the Heisman, and historically, it’s won in November anyway.
Reed’s odds reflect the ideal middle ground between risk and potential payoff, with plenty of upward mobility available to vault him ahead in the market.
Why Trust New York Post Betting
Sean Treppedi handicaps the NFL, NHL, MLB and college football for the New York Post. He primarily focuses on picks that reflect market value while tracking trends to mitigate risk.
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