Texans flailing, Bills a massive favorite

Week 3 is in the books.

With six undefeated and six winless teams, teams are starting to sort themselves out.

Let’s take a look at some NFL betting trends and storylines ahead of Week 4.

The disappointing Texans

No team has played further below its preseason expectations than the Texans.

After making the playoffs in each of the past two seasons and coming into the year as the favorite in the AFC South, the Texans’ chances in 2025 are already teetering.

Houston is 0-3 with one-score losses to the Rams, Buccaneers, and Jaguars ahead of their matchup against the Titans next week.

The Texans came into the season at -150 to make the playoffs at FanDuel Sportsbook — they’re now just +300 to make the postseason for the third straight year.

Philadelphia Eagles player Jordan Davis #90 carrying the football during a game against the Los Angeles Rams. — Jordan Davis returns a blocked field goal for a touchdown during the fourth quarter of the Eagles’ Week 3 win over the Rams. Getty Images

Eagles deliver brutal bad beat

We already may have the worst beat of the year.

Rams bettors were sitting pretty through the first half against the Eagles with Los Angeles seemingly pulling away with a 26-7 lead as 3.5-point underdogs in Philadelphia.

It went sideways from there.

The Eagles stormed back, taking a 27-26 lead before the Rams marched down the field to set themselves up for a 44-yard game-winning field goal with three seconds left in the game.

Even if Rams kicker Joshua Karty simply kicked the ball wide of the uprights, his team would have covered the spread.

Of course, that’s not how it turned out.

Eagles defensive tackle Jordan Davis jumped the offensive line to block the field goal and returned the ball for a touchdown to widen Philadelphia’s lead to 33-26 as the time expired, securing the win and covering the spread in a terrible loss for those who put their money on the Rams.

Giants rookie Jaxson Dart on the sideline during the loss to the Chiefs on Sept. 21, 2025. — Giants rookie Jaxson Dart on the sideline during the Giants’ Week 3 loss to the Chiefs. Charles Wenzelberg / New York Post

Dart time

Jaxson Dart is taking over in New York.

After being named the Giants’ starting quarterback to replace Russell Wilson, Dart’s odds to win the Offensive Rookie of the Year award skyrocketed to +750, which is tied for the third-best odds at FanDuel.

If Dart plays anywhere near how he did during the preseason, when he completed 32 of 47 passes for 372 yards with three touchdowns and no interceptions while also running the ball six times for 52 yards and a touchdown, look for those odds to get even better.

Betting on the NFL?

A wild spread in Buffalo

We might get our biggest mismatch of the season on Sunday.

The Super Bowl favorite Bills will welcome the lowly Saints to Buffalo, and oddsmakers are expecting it to get ugly.

Josh Allen and Co. are currently a 16.5-point favorite – the largest spread of the year thus far.

It would have been the second-largest spread of the season last year, trailing only an early January contest between the Ravens and Browns in Baltimore when the former was a 19.5 favorite.

Why Trust New York Post Betting

Dylan Svoboda is a versatile writer and analyst across many sports. He’s particularly knowledgeable about the big three — MLB, the NFL and the NBA.

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